The Facts Machine

"And I come back to you now, at the turn of the tide"

Friday, September 12, 2008

Stop worrying, Obama supporters!

Democrats can be such drama queens sometimes!

What have we seen these last couple months?

Obama wins series of primaries in late Winter, early Spring, polls go up.

Democrats: Cool!

Obama plays defense as media goes on and on about Reverend Wright, etc.

Democrats: What's wrong with this guy, why doesn't he assert himself?

Obama wins primary campaign, gets lots of coverage, polls go up.

Democrats: Yay! He's going to win! I can finally relax for once in a campaign.

McCain campaign throws a bunch of trivial crap at Obama, Obama plays defense, polls go down.

Democrats: Omigod he's gonna looz! This is Kerry/Gore/Dukakis all over again!

Obama delivers DNC acceptance speech, polls go up.

Democrats: Wow! That was inspiring and surprisingly full of policy details too! I can finally relax for once in a campaign.

McCain campaign, now armed with an unqualified governor from Alaska, throws a bunch more trivial crap at Obama, Obama plays defense, polls go down.

Democrats: Omigod he's really gonna looz! This is Kerry/Gore/Dukakis all over again! Hell, Mondale too!

...

Guys. Relax. Have some dip.

Fast forward a few weeks...

Obama debates McCain, shifts discussion to issues, polls go up.

Democrats: He's going to win! I can finally, finally, finally relax for once in a campaign.

...

Look, it's simple. When the American people hear Obama talk, without a filter, they support him. When the American people are talking about the issues that matter to people, rather than stupid sideshow drivel, they support Obama.

Those two elements will converge in the upcoming slate of Presidential debates.

In 2004, John Kerry's support grew substantially after the debates, and the only reason he didn't win then was because he was starting from a lower level of support before those debates. The worst it will be for Obama is behind by 1-2 percent.

Now do you see why McCain is throwing not only the kitchen sink, but a kitchen sink backed up with sewage, at team Obama?

McCain knows that he's going to start losing ground in a hurry once the debate season kicks in. And if the best he can do right now is pull to a tie, or maybe the slightest of leads, then he is going to find himself making a call of congratulations to the Senator from Illinois on November 4th.

So stop worrying, Obama supporters!

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