The Facts Machine

"And I come back to you now, at the turn of the tide"

Wednesday, October 13, 2004

QUESTION ABOUT ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM

I'm a fan of Electoral-Vote.com, it's just about the most straightforward and useful electoral vote coverage you can find around the internet. The state polls are frequently updated, using a variety of polling organizations, and I appreciate that.

However, I've noticed that the Votemaster sure enjoys using partisan polls for his electoral map from time to time. And, um, partisan only one way.

On today's map, there are seven states whose status are currently determined by partisan polls: Washington, Oklahoma, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. In five cases, the status is determined solely from the Republican polling firm Strategic Vision. In one case (Oklahoma) the Republican polling firm Wilson Research is employed, and in Pennsylvania it is a compromise between Strategic Vision and a Quinnipiac U. poll.

Note that partisan polls alone were enough for the Votemaster to change the three midwestern swing states -- Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio -- from Kerry states to Bush states.

And of course, note that no Democratic polling organizations are used for the map.

So my question is: What's the dealio? Is this an accurate snapshot of the Electoral College as it stands today? Has the Electoral College devolved into a party school in recent years? Would that be considered "devolving"?

Okay, I need lunch.

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