The Facts Machine

"And I come back to you now, at the turn of the tide"

Monday, August 02, 2004


The CNN/USATODAY/GALLUP poll taken after the convention had a strange result.

Among around 700 "likely voters" (leans toward those who voted in previous elections), the poll found Bush had a 50-47 lead.

However, among around 900 "registered voters", a subset of whom are the "likely voters", the poll showed Kerry with a 50-47 lead.

Sooooooooo which one's right? Future polls will shed light on that.

Though I would mention, a large portion of the difference between likely and registered voters is made up of first-time voters. Many of those voters are young voters (many of whom were either apathetic or not of voting age in 2000), and that jives with the post-convention findings over at Zogby.


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