PRIMARY RESULTS
Kerry won both Virginia and Tennessee by quite a lot, the only difference being that while Edwards decisively held off Clark in Virginia, the two of them were bunched up together in the mid-20's in Tennessee. Of course, Virginia is right smack on top of Edwards' home state of North Carolina, so that must make some difference.
Is anyone dropping out? Doesn't look like it yet. Clark will see it through at least until Wisconsin.
Jerome Armstrong notes that the combined votes of Clark and Edwards are more than that of Kerry. I have to figure, though, that if Clark dropped out, some of his veteran support would swing towards Kerry, so this isn't necessarily a true measurement of the dug-in "anti-Kerry" contingent.
Still, the more under-50% finishes for John Kerry, the greater the possibility of a brokered convention, which some fear, but others, myself included, would welcome with open arms and wall-to-wall media coverage. Remember, this ain't '68; the Dems are not ideologically split in any substantial way, only on the choice of a candidate. My hunch is that Kerry will be the clear nominee by Super Tuesday, if he isn't already now. But I can dream, can I?
I wonder -- and I briefly wonder, because I have lots of work to do tonight -- whether or not Dean and Clark's apparent reluctance to exit the race despite their long odds has something to do with posturing for a possible brokered convention scenario, which could be their best chance to get on the ticket, either at the top or the bottom.
There isn't really any other scenario that bodes well for either of them at this point in the campaign cycle, with the media itching to coronate (and then "Gore") Kerry while also trying to force other candidates out of the race to streamline the campaign both in terms of drama and finance.
At this point, I don't mind hearing 4 (well, 6) Democratic candidates attacking Bush instead of just one. It means Bush will put more restraint on that $200million warchest of his while the dust settles, and by then the Dems may have established a degree of momentum that could be hard for the Bushies to counter.
Kerry won both Virginia and Tennessee by quite a lot, the only difference being that while Edwards decisively held off Clark in Virginia, the two of them were bunched up together in the mid-20's in Tennessee. Of course, Virginia is right smack on top of Edwards' home state of North Carolina, so that must make some difference.
Is anyone dropping out? Doesn't look like it yet. Clark will see it through at least until Wisconsin.
Jerome Armstrong notes that the combined votes of Clark and Edwards are more than that of Kerry. I have to figure, though, that if Clark dropped out, some of his veteran support would swing towards Kerry, so this isn't necessarily a true measurement of the dug-in "anti-Kerry" contingent.
Still, the more under-50% finishes for John Kerry, the greater the possibility of a brokered convention, which some fear, but others, myself included, would welcome with open arms and wall-to-wall media coverage. Remember, this ain't '68; the Dems are not ideologically split in any substantial way, only on the choice of a candidate. My hunch is that Kerry will be the clear nominee by Super Tuesday, if he isn't already now. But I can dream, can I?
I wonder -- and I briefly wonder, because I have lots of work to do tonight -- whether or not Dean and Clark's apparent reluctance to exit the race despite their long odds has something to do with posturing for a possible brokered convention scenario, which could be their best chance to get on the ticket, either at the top or the bottom.
There isn't really any other scenario that bodes well for either of them at this point in the campaign cycle, with the media itching to coronate (and then "Gore") Kerry while also trying to force other candidates out of the race to streamline the campaign both in terms of drama and finance.
At this point, I don't mind hearing 4 (well, 6) Democratic candidates attacking Bush instead of just one. It means Bush will put more restraint on that $200million warchest of his while the dust settles, and by then the Dems may have established a degree of momentum that could be hard for the Bushies to counter.
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