Kevin Drum has a big chunk of exit polls posted. All but one (the LA Times) have Kerry leading by a small amount.

All of them, noticeably, have Dean topping 30%. First of all, my predictions went to shit. Second of all, 30% seems like one of those good arbitrary numbers that the media will adopt as part of their "Dean is rebounding" line. And reasonably enough, because he was as far down as the upper teens according to some polls as recently as a few days ago.

As someone who is relatively uncommitted right now, and as someone who doesn't want to see Clark or Edwards knocked out of the race (particularly the former), I wouldn't mind a close finish between Dean and Kerry here.