The Facts Machine

"And I come back to you now, at the turn of the tide"

Monday, October 25, 2004

STARRING BILL CLINTON AS WARREN CHRISTOPHER?

Just stumbled onto Race2004.com for the first time. It's just as user-friendly as electoralvote or 2004k, so I'll probably go back there from time to time.

The site also features predictions for each state to go along with up-to-date polling information. Based on their battleground predictions, they have Kerry winning the electoral college 273-265.

Think that's too close for comfort? It gets better.

Race2004's projection has Kerry taking New Mexico, Minnesota, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania among the battlegrounds, and Bush picking up Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada and Florida.

The one state that tips the scales? Arkansas. And not only that, but Race2004 owner Stephen Lorimor somehow came up with a more, uh, precise projection on the right side of the screen:
Projected Vote

Kerry wins the popular vote with 492,481 votes (48.97%). Bush places second with 492,291 votes (48.95%).
So they predict Kerry will win Arkansas -- and thus in effect, the Presidency -- by 190 votes.

Crap.

Will we have a new Florida in Arkansas? Will the blow-dried cable anchors of America really want to spend 4-5 weeks in Little Rock? Will large insects get stuck in Wolf Blitzer's beard? Will Bill Clinton take over the Warren Christopher role for the Democratic candidate? If so, would that disbarment nonsense come up? Will we recount votes AND fight the culture wars at the same time? Soooo many questions.

We'll be lucky to get this resolved before Dick Clark is counting down the big ball at Times Square.

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