The Facts Machine

"And I come back to you now, at the turn of the tide"

Thursday, January 09, 2003

WOW!

Via Daily Kos, here's Zogby's latest polling data on Dubya's reelection prospects, to go with his apparent 63% approval rating:
A slim majority (51%) says Bush deserves re-election compared to 36% who say it is time for someone new. Another 13% are not sure. In October, 49% said Bush deserved re-election and 35% said it was time for someone new.

Slightly more than one in three voters (35%) say they would vote to re-elect President Bush regardless of who he runs against, compared to 56% who would not vote to re-elect Bush regardless of who he runs against.
Maybe that's a little confusing at first. But in short, the headline here is that 56% of Americans, according to Zogby (hardly a liberal), do not want to re-elect Bush regardless of his opponent. Zogby explains the difference between those two questions:
"They are two different questions -- one "soft" re-elect asks if GWB deserves re-election or is it time for someone new, the "hard re-elect" asks if voters would vote GWB regardless who he runs against. Two different measures; used all the time. They are useful to determine levels of support."
Rove & co. know that Bush's high approval ratings are largely a mirage, and they are significantly worried about his re-election prospects (Edwards scares them, for instance). A general public attitude of "he seems like a good guy, but i'm not gonna re-elect him" does not bode well for the Bushies.

There, enjoy that, and please, suck on that. I'm gonna go play cards now.

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